Abstract:

This  paper presents selected aspects of construction and practical use of formal forecasting models which parameters are determined on the basis of experts’ evaluations - the so-called subjective models. It is indicated additionally on  usefulness of this models in the construction of long-term forecasts  for the development of renewable energy technologies. Theoretical studies are supported by analysis of the data obtained from the foresight research "Zero-emission energy management until 2050 assuming sustainable development in Poland", which was conducted by the Central Mining Institute.