Abstract:

Many approaches have been developed so far in managing the security of an economic entity. The author of this article focused research effort on using his own method. Earlier, this method has been successfully used to forecast threats in international relations. The effectiveness of the forecasts for the 10 cases studied was 80-90%. The author decided to check whether it is possible to use this method to forecast threats to business entities. During the research it turned out that this method cannot be used directly and it was necessary to introduce appropriate modifications. The introduced changes gave very successful results enabling forecasting the decision-making process of selected companies.