Methods for Assessing and Forecasting the Resource Supply of Tourist Clusters in the Regions of the Central Black Earth Economic Region of the Russian Federation

Abstract:

The relevance of the research topic is determined by the importance of obtaining an objective assessment and forecasting of the resource supply of tourist clusters in the regions, including in the Central Black Earth Economic Region of the Russian Federation. Scientifically-based tourism development plans can be developed in the regions based on such estimates. In this regard, the purpose of this article is to determine methodological approaches to the study of the assessment and forecasting of the resource supply of tourist clusters in the regions of the Central Black Earth Economic Region of the Russian Federation. The leading scientific research methods were theoretical and empirical methods, methods of quantitative and qualitative analysis, methods of data aggregation, factorial and structural-functional analysis, expert assessment, classification and structuring of information, reference and statistical data, and a comparison method. Studies in the theory of cluster development, cluster processes in tourism, and the internationalization of cluster initiatives have become the basis for the formation of the methodology. As a result of the study, a scientific base has been developed, which allows assessing and predicting the resource provision of tourist clusters of the Central black earth economic region both in terms of the state of the geographical framework of the territories, and in terms of identifying cooperation in the use of tourism resources in the production of tourist products and services. The materials of the article can be used at the level of regional authorities engaged in regional tourism.