Predictive Analytics in Goals’ Achievements Of The Strategy Of Economic and Social Development Of St. Petersburg Until 2030

Abstract:

The paper focuses on the goals' achievements of the Strategy of economic and social development of St. Petersburg until 2030. Strategic directions of St. Petersburg development until 2030 (human capital development, improving urban environment, providing sustainable economic growth, ensuring effective governance and civil society development) are examined. The feasibility of economic and social development indicators, predicted in 2012 for 2020 and 2030, is verified on the basis of actual data for 2016. The indicators, predicted values of which are hard-to-reach and require revision, are revealed. Such indicators, according to the predictive analytics, are: employed in economy, percent of people with higher education, workplaces with high labor productivity and foreign investment in economy of St. Petersburg. The paper examines the dynamics of the main indicators presented by the Committee for Economic Policy and Strategic Planning of St. Petersburg on the basis of predictive analytics. The list of indicators is not exhaustive. The Strategy is based on the UN sustainable development goals and one of its scenarios has prospects for implementation.

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