Seasonal Adjustment and Forecasting Economic Time Series

Abstract:

Agriculture is a major activity in the economic life of a country by its implications for GDP growth, lowering inflation, ensuring a high level of labour employment and reducing unemployment. Achieving a sustainable economic growth, even while keeping constant levels of quantitative factors, must be based on the growth of the total productivity factor. In this context, this paper proposes that by the use of statistical and econometric techniques, to test and reveal regularities in the evolution of the quarterly employment rate in agriculture, the extrapolation of the investigated feature being based on it.