Abstract:

The article with due account of pertinent domestic and international experience of similar research presents an adaptive simulation model of Krasnodar Territory, which on the probabilistic basis allows for assessing the contribution of infrastructural update in the change of the gross regional product exemplified by additional flow of traffic across the Crimean Bridge. The potential scenarios of impact of freight traffic volume across the Kerch Straight Bridge upon the regional economic growth are considered also from a perspective of alternative macro-scenarios described by investment activity parameters.