Technology Forecast and Ideality in Production Systems

Abstract:

This paper presents the first version of a general innovation and forecast methodology developed by the author on the basis of the concept of development towards ideality adopted from the TRIZ methodology. This methodology includes seven steps and has as its central element the AVTRIZ sub-methodology prepared by the author starting from the Value Analysis and Engineering method and TRIZ, allowing to consider the dual approach technology-business and management in generating innovative solutions for production systems. Another important standpoint of the methodology is the approach based on the concept of the ideal system, the assessment of the level of system ideality and technology, as well as the forecasting on the basis of the laws and trends of systems development, aiming at ideality increase. The detail presentation of the structure includes at each step the presentation of the methods, techniques and tools we used, some of them created by the author and others adapted from the professional literature. Research will be continued in the direction of perfecting each stage of the methodology application, while taking into account the different types of systems where the latter can be applied.