The Forecasting of Innovation Projects Parameters and its Use for the Decision Strategic Planning Problems

Abstract:

The article offers a method that allows data to forecast of the innovative projects parameters based on innovation curves and S-curves. The approach is based on identifying the relationship between parameters and taking into account their mutual influence on each other by adding a new correction data for the predictive curves construction. Thus, the approach described in this article can reduce the magnitude of error in constructing the innovation projects forecasts. Also, the article discusses how to use projections to solve practical problems on the example of the production planning problem formulation.