Abstract:

The article presents a simulation of erosional-accumulation changes in selected areas of the Southern Baltic coast of Poland. The analysis of the coastal real estate market is focused on the impact of marine erosion and the long-term land development process, projected up to the year 2110.

The erosion change simulation, based on a cartographic base with a generated digital terrain model and the use of interpolation tools for visualizing changes, represents an innovative approach to analyzing land runoff in the real estate market. The resulting directional trends in terrain changes also provide forecasts useful for spatial planning in areas susceptible to storm flooding and dynamic shoreline changes, caused both by climate warming and human activities, particularly the tendency for intensive investments.